Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Genoa win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
