Spezia0 - 2Juventus
We said: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
There is little hope for Spezia in this contest based on recent results - in addition to their appalling record versus Juventus - but their visitors have lost twice to Monza this term and also against Maccabi Haifa. A surprise is possible, then, but Juve's front three contains the quality to conjure goals from nearly nothing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Juventus in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
16.63% ( -0.43) | 21.33% ( -0.18) | 62.04% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 50.83% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( 0.04) | 45.77% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( 0.04) | 68.09% ( -0.05) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.24% ( -0.5) | 40.76% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.66% ( -0.45) | 77.34% ( 0.44) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.8% ( 0.2) | 14.2% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.09% ( 0.39) | 41.91% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.63% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.32% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.18% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.5% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.41% 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.02% |
