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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 14
Dec 2, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Cagliari

Pedro (8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hatzidiakos (12'), Nandez (75')
Makoumbou (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Celtic
Tuesday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 26 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Cagliari

 The pressure is on Lazio to produce, as they face promoted opponents and have plenty of catching up to do in Serie A. Last term's runners-up are also without half of their first-choice back four, but Cagliari can be caught out defensively and will surely suffer the same fate as Celtic. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
LazioDrawCagliari
48.73% (-0.155 -0.16) 25.74% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 25.53% (0.096 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (-0.15 -0.15)53.23% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (-0.13 -0.13)74.79% (0.125 0.13)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.131 -0.13)21.86% (0.128 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.198 -0.2)55.1% (0.195 0.2)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 48.73%
    Cagliari 25.53%
    Draw 25.74%
LazioDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.73%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 25.53%

How you voted: Lazio vs Cagliari

Lazio
89.7%
Draw
10.3%
Cagliari
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Cagliari
0-3
Lazio

Altare (18'), Marin (75'), Lovato (90+2')
Immobile (19' pen.), Alberto (42'), Anderson (62')
Marusic (71')
Marusic (89')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 4
Lazio
2-2
Cagliari
Immobile (45'), Cataldi (83')
Felipe (42')
Pedro (46'), Balde (62')
Caceres (6'), Zappa (61'), Mazzarri (83')
Zappa (90+4')
> Preview
Feb 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Lazio
1-0
Cagliari
Immobile (61')
Correa (69'), Inzaghi (87'), Parolo (87')

Nandez (31'), Pedro (82')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 2
Cagliari
0-2
Lazio

Marin (51')
Lazzari (4'), Immobile (74')
Leiva (61')
> Preview
Jul 23, 2020 8.45pm
Gameweek 35
Lazio
2-1
Cagliari
Milinkovic-Savic (47'), Immobile (60')
Jony (45+1'), Lazzari (50'), Parolo (90')
Simeone (45')
Klavan (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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