Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Lecce1 - 0Genoa
We said: Lecce 1-1 Genoa
Despite never going five games unbeaten at the start of a Serie A season before, Lecce will fancy their chances of setting that new club record here. Genoa have also shown some very promising signs, especially in games against Lazio and Napoli, and should make this a close, competitive encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Genoa |
49.68% ( -0.04) | 27.39% ( 0.01) | 22.92% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.15% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
