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Serie A
Lecce logo
Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
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Lecce
1 - 0
Genoa

Oudin (83')
Almqvist (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)

De Winter (7'), Caricol (9')
Caricol (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Lecce
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Genoa

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Napoli
Saturday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Genoa

 Despite never going five games unbeaten at the start of a Serie A season before, Lecce will fancy their chances of setting that new club record here. Genoa have also shown some very promising signs, especially in games against Lazio and Napoli, and should make this a close, competitive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 49.68%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 22.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.

Result
LecceDrawGenoa
49.68% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 27.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 22.92% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 43.15% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.02% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.98% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)24.76% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)59.32% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.35% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.65% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (0.026 0.03)79% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 49.68%
    Genoa 22.93%
    Draw 27.38%
LecceDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 14.74%
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 49.68%
1-1 @ 12.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 9% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22.93%

How you voted: Lecce vs Genoa

Lecce
55.9%
Draw
23.5%
Genoa
20.6%
68
Head to Head
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
2-1
Lecce
> Preview
Dec 8, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Lecce
2-2
Genoa
Falco (60'), Tabanelli (70')
La Mantia (21'), Lucioni (45'), Tachtsidis (55'), Petriccione (65'), Tabanelli (71')
Pandev (31'), Criscito (45' pen.)
Pajac (14'), Agudelo (18'), Criscito (67'), Pandev (73')
Agudelo (69'), Pandev (77')
Aug 11, 2018 8.15pm
Third Round
Genoa
4-0
Lecce
Piatek (2', 9', 19', 37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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