Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Lecce |
51.59% ( -0.34) | 25.44% ( -0) | 22.96% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 48.38% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.82% ( 0.32) | 54.18% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.41% ( 0.27) | 75.59% ( -0.27) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( -0.01) | 21.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% ( -0.02) | 53.8% ( 0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.25% ( 0.5) | 38.74% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.52% ( 0.48) | 75.48% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |