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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Genoa logo

Torino
1 - 0
Genoa

Radonjic (90+4')
Seck (70'), Pellegri (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Badelj (18'), Malinovskyi (21'), Strootman (45+1'), Thorsby (78'), Bani (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 4-1 Torino
Saturday, August 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Genoa
Sunday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Genoa

Torino's search for a first league win could end on Sunday evening, as they come up against a Genoa side likely to concede the ball and frustrate them. It may well be one goal that decides a close-fought game, and having just bolstered their front line, Toro should score it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawGenoa
45.96% (0.433 0.43) 27.86% (-0.09 -0.09) 26.18% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 44.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57% (0.124 0.12)60.43% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.43% (0.094000000000001 0.09)80.57% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (0.277 0.28)26.32% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (0.367 0.37)61.45% (-0.366 -0.37)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (-0.229 -0.23)39.31% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99% (-0.213 -0.21)76.01% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Torino 45.95%
    Genoa 26.18%
    Draw 27.85%
TorinoDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.22% (0.102 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.1% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 45.95%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 10.34% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.02% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Torino vs Genoa

Torino
55.0%
Draw
30.0%
Genoa
15.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 30
Genoa
1-0
Torino
Portanova (14')
Skiri Oestigaard (10'), Bani (84')
Skiri Oestigaard (24')

Izzo (88'), Pobega (90'), Ansaldi (90+2')
Oct 22, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Torino
3-2
Genoa
Sanabria (14'), Pobega (31'), Brekalo (77')
Pobega (89'), Praet (90+2')
Destro (70'), Caicedo (81')
Vasquez (64'), Fares (79'), Kallon (85')
Feb 13, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 22
Torino
0-0
Genoa
Bremer (79'), Izzo (84')
Criscito (10'), Rovella (38'), Goldaniga (60'), Radovanovic (90+1')
Nov 4, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 3
Genoa
1-2
Torino
Scamacca (90+4')
Badelj (31'), Rovella (51')
Lukic (10'), Pellegrini (26' og.)
Gojak (23'), Rincon (45+3'), Singo (68'), Lukic (90+3')
Jul 16, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Torino
3-0
Genoa
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli17122326121438
2Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1594228111731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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