Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 45.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Genoa win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Genoa |
45.96% ( 0.43) | 27.86% ( -0.09) | 26.18% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 44.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.57% ( 0.12) | 60.43% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.43% ( 0.09) | 80.57% ( -0.09) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% ( 0.28) | 26.32% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.55% ( 0.37) | 61.45% ( -0.37) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.69% ( -0.23) | 39.31% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% ( -0.21) | 76.01% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 13.8% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.85% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |