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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Salernitana

Frosinone
3 - 0
Salernitana

Soule (10' pen.), Brescianini (25'), Zortea (85')
Zortea (41'), Mazzitelli (50')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sambia (9'), Pierozzi (36')

The Match

Match Report

Salernitana are relegated from Serie A owing to a 3-0 loss at Frosinone, ending their three-year stay in the top flight of Italian football.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-0 Frosinone
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawSalernitana
60.42% (-0.314 -0.31) 21.04% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 18.54% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 55.64% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.042999999999999 0.04)41.27% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (0.043999999999997 0.04)63.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)13.25% (0.08 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)40.02% (0.161 0.16)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.14% (0.288 0.29)35.86% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.36% (0.293 0.29)72.64% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 60.42%
    Salernitana 18.54%
    Draw 21.04%
FrosinoneDrawSalernitana
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.54% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 60.42%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.1% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.04%
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.87% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 18.54%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Salernitana

Frosinone
74.1%
Draw
17.3%
Salernitana
8.6%
81
Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Salernitana
1-1
Frosinone
Cabral (52')
Mazzocchi (48'), Lovato (81')
Romagnoli (12')
Caso (30'), Okoli (34')
Apr 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 32
Salernitana
1-0
Frosinone
Cicerelli (55')
Anderson (9'), Di Tacchio (69'), Jaroszynski (76')

Vitale (14'), Gori (50'), Zampano (59'), Brighenti (84')
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 13
Frosinone
0-0
Salernitana
Carraro (78'), Curado (90+5')
Aya (73')
Feb 29, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 26
Frosinone
1-0
Salernitana
Novakovich (72')
Capuano (9'), Ariaudo (62'), Brighenti (65')

Maistro (29'), Kiyine (58'), Migliorini (66')
Oct 6, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 7
Salernitana
1-1
Frosinone
Kiyine (31' pen.)
Kiyine (36'), Maistro (43'), Lopez (65')
Capuano (95')
Gori (13'), Zampano (70')
Gori (29')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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