Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Salernitana |
60.42% ( -0.31) | 21.04% ( 0.08) | 18.54% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 55.64% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.73% ( 0.04) | 41.27% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.33% ( 0.04) | 63.67% ( -0.04) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.75% ( -0.08) | 13.25% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.98% ( -0.16) | 40.02% ( 0.16) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.14% ( 0.29) | 35.86% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.36% ( 0.29) | 72.64% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Salernitana |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.33% Total : 60.42% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.04% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 18.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |