Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Monza
Though Monza are well-equipped to avoid defeat on the road, Fiorentina's recent home form is impressive - and the Viola's squad depth is sufficient to handle any post-Europe rotation. One goal may decide a tight contest at the Franchi, where the hosts will claim victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.55% . A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.03% .
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%) , while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.22%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result Fiorentina Draw Monza 61.55% ( -0.19) 21.42% ( 0.05) 17.03% ( 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.37% ( 0.15)
54.53% ( 0.04) 45.47% ( -0.05)
32.19% ( 0.04) 67.8% ( -0.04)
85.75% ( -0.05) 14.25% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 57.99% ( -0.09) 42.01% ( 0.09)
59.9% ( 0.2) 40.09% ( -0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 23.26% ( 0.19) 76.74% ( -0.19)
Fiorentina 61.54%
Monza 17.03%
Draw 21.42%
Fiorentina Draw Monza 1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 61.54% 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 21.42% 0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.03%
How you voted: Fiorentina vs Monza
128
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-24 10:30:31
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