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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Monza

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Monza

Gonzalez (32'), Arthur (78')
Parisi (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Djuric (9')
Bondo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Lazio
Saturday, May 4 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Monza

Though Monza are well-equipped to avoid defeat on the road, Fiorentina's recent home form is impressive - and the Viola's squad depth is sufficient to handle any post-Europe rotation. One goal may decide a tight contest at the Franchi, where the hosts will claim victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawMonza
61.55% (-0.193 -0.19) 21.42% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 17.03% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.37% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)45.47% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.19% (0.038000000000004 0.04)67.8% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)14.25% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.99% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)42.01% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (0.203 0.2)40.09% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (0.187 0.19)76.74% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 61.54%
    Monza 17.03%
    Draw 21.42%
FiorentinaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 61.54%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.22% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.03%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Monza

Fiorentina
76.6%
Draw
15.6%
Monza
7.8%
128
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
0-1
Fiorentina

Mari (33'), Akpa-Akpro (72'), D'Ambrosio (88')
Beltran (7')
Beltran (33'), Mina (68'), Kayode (86'), Ranieri (90+3')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Monza
3-2
Fiorentina
Biraghi (26' og.), Mota (43'), Pessina (59' pen.)
Kouame (8'), Saponara (13')
Jan 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Fiorentina
1-1
Monza
Cabral (19')
Augusto (61')
Aug 18, 2019 5.15pm
Third Round
Fiorentina
3-1
Monza
Vlahovic (80', 86'), Chiesa (89')
Terzic (29'), Ranieri (71'), Vlahovic (87')
Brighenti (34')
Sampirisi (33'), Scaglia (39'), Bellusci (44'), Iocolano (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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