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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Monza

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Monza

Gonzalez (32'), Arthur (78')
Parisi (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Djuric (9')
Bondo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Lazio
Saturday, May 4 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 1-0 Monza

Though Monza are well-equipped to avoid defeat on the road, Fiorentina's recent home form is impressive - and the Viola's squad depth is sufficient to handle any post-Europe rotation. One goal may decide a tight contest at the Franchi, where the hosts will claim victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawMonza
61.55% (-0.193 -0.19) 21.42% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 17.03% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.37% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (0.042000000000002 0.04)45.47% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.19% (0.038000000000004 0.04)67.8% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)14.25% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.99% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)42.01% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.9% (0.203 0.2)40.09% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.26% (0.187 0.19)76.74% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 61.54%
    Monza 17.03%
    Draw 21.42%
FiorentinaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 10.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.04% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 61.54%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 5.22% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.39% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.03%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Monza

Fiorentina
76.6%
Draw
15.6%
Monza
7.8%
128
Head to Head
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Monza
0-1
Fiorentina

Mari (33'), Akpa-Akpro (72'), D'Ambrosio (88')
Beltran (7')
Beltran (33'), Mina (68'), Kayode (86'), Ranieri (90+3')
Apr 23, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 31
Monza
3-2
Fiorentina
Biraghi (26' og.), Mota (43'), Pessina (59' pen.)
Kouame (8'), Saponara (13')
Jan 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Fiorentina
1-1
Monza
Cabral (19')
Augusto (61')
Aug 18, 2019 5.15pm
Third Round
Fiorentina
3-1
Monza
Vlahovic (80', 86'), Chiesa (89')
Terzic (29'), Ranieri (71'), Vlahovic (87')
Brighenti (34')
Sampirisi (33'), Scaglia (39'), Bellusci (44'), Iocolano (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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