MX23RW : Monday, March 10 22:39:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Napoli logo

Monza
2 - 4
Napoli

Djuric (9'), Colpani (62')
Donati (42'), Akpa-Akpro (46'), Caldirola (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (55'), Politano (57'), Zielinski (61'), Raspadori (69')
Ngonge (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Monza
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-1 Napoli

Stature aside, there has been little to separate these clubs this season, as both have been inconsistent and are gravitating towards mid-table. A low-scoring draw could be on the cards, then, with misfiring Napoli being frustrated again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawNapoli
29.97% (0.174 0.17) 24.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 45.18% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.84% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)69.09% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.137 0.14)29.12% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (0.167 0.17)65.05% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.79% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.107 -0.11)53.44% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Monza 29.97%
    Napoli 45.18%
    Draw 24.85%
MonzaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.97%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: Monza vs Napoli

Monza
22.7%
Draw
32.0%
Napoli
45.3%
75
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
0-0
Monza
Jesus (66'), Di Lorenzo (67'), Gaetano (80'), Mazzarri (81'), Kvaratskhelia (82')
Mazzarri (83')
Pereira (32'), Palladino (33'), Birindelli (50'), Cittadini (79'), Bondo (82')
Maric (90+5')
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Monza
2-0
Napoli
Mota (18'), Petagna (54')
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
4-0
Monza
Kvaratskhelia (35', 62'), Osimhen (45+2'), Min-jae (90+3')
Rui (59'), Di Lorenzo (73')

Caprari (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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