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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Napoli logo

Monza
2 - 4
Napoli

Djuric (9'), Colpani (62')
Donati (42'), Akpa-Akpro (46'), Caldirola (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (55'), Politano (57'), Zielinski (61'), Raspadori (69')
Ngonge (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Monza
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-1 Napoli

Stature aside, there has been little to separate these clubs this season, as both have been inconsistent and are gravitating towards mid-table. A low-scoring draw could be on the cards, then, with misfiring Napoli being frustrated again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawNapoli
29.97% (0.174 0.17) 24.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 45.18% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.84% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)69.09% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.137 0.14)29.12% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (0.167 0.17)65.05% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.79% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.107 -0.11)53.44% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Monza 29.97%
    Napoli 45.18%
    Draw 24.85%
MonzaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.97%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: Monza vs Napoli

Monza
22.7%
Draw
32.0%
Napoli
45.3%
75
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
0-0
Monza
Jesus (66'), Di Lorenzo (67'), Gaetano (80'), Mazzarri (81'), Kvaratskhelia (82')
Mazzarri (83')
Pereira (32'), Palladino (33'), Birindelli (50'), Cittadini (79'), Bondo (82')
Maric (90+5')
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Monza
2-0
Napoli
Mota (18'), Petagna (54')
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
4-0
Monza
Kvaratskhelia (35', 62'), Osimhen (45+2'), Min-jae (90+3')
Rui (59'), Di Lorenzo (73')

Caprari (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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