MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 10:22:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Napoli logo

Monza
2 - 4
Napoli

Djuric (9'), Colpani (62')
Donati (42'), Akpa-Akpro (46'), Caldirola (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (55'), Politano (57'), Zielinski (61'), Raspadori (69')
Ngonge (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 1-0 Monza
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-3 Atalanta
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Monza 1-1 Napoli

Stature aside, there has been little to separate these clubs this season, as both have been inconsistent and are gravitating towards mid-table. A low-scoring draw could be on the cards, then, with misfiring Napoli being frustrated again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawNapoli
29.97% (0.174 0.17) 24.85% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 45.18% (-0.187 -0.19)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17% (0.032999999999994 0.03)46.84% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91% (0.030999999999999 0.03)69.09% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88% (0.137 0.14)29.12% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (0.167 0.17)65.05% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.79% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.107 -0.11)53.44% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Monza 29.97%
    Napoli 45.18%
    Draw 24.85%
MonzaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.47% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.24% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.61% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.97%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.47% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 45.18%

How you voted: Monza vs Napoli

Monza
22.7%
Draw
32.0%
Napoli
45.3%
75
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
0-0
Monza
Jesus (66'), Di Lorenzo (67'), Gaetano (80'), Mazzarri (81'), Kvaratskhelia (82')
Mazzarri (83')
Pereira (32'), Palladino (33'), Birindelli (50'), Cittadini (79'), Bondo (82')
Maric (90+5')
May 14, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 35
Monza
2-0
Napoli
Mota (18'), Petagna (54')
Aug 21, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Napoli
4-0
Monza
Kvaratskhelia (35', 62'), Osimhen (45+2'), Min-jae (90+3')
Rui (59'), Di Lorenzo (73')

Caprari (38')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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