Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
We said: Lecce 1-0 Monza
Lecce are reborn under Gatti, keeping clean sheets and winning football games again. Unbeaten in 11 of their 13 home matches across Serie A and Serie B, last losing to the Biancorossi in December 1998, the home side should avoid defeat on Saturday, with a goal settling it for the Wolves.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.3% . A win for Monza had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%) . The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood .
Result Lecce Draw Monza 38.3% ( -0.61) 28.14% ( -0.05) 33.57% ( 0.66)
Both teams to score 47.19% ( 0.27)
41.09% ( 0.27) 58.91% ( -0.27)
20.6% ( 0.21) 79.4% ( -0.21)
70.22% ( -0.23) 29.78% ( 0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.14% ( -0.27) 65.86% ( 0.28)
67.21% ( 0.59) 32.8% ( -0.59)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.64% ( 0.66) 69.36% ( -0.65)
Lecce 38.3%
Monza 33.57%
Draw 28.14%
Lecce Draw Monza 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.3% 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.14% 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.57%
How you voted: Lecce vs Monza
29
rhs 2.0
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