Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Frosinone |
63.55% ( 0.28) | 19.87% ( -0.13) | 16.57% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 55.66% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.68% ( 0.35) | 39.31% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.35% ( 0.36) | 61.65% ( -0.36) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.24% ( 0.18) | 11.75% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.08% ( 0.39) | 36.91% ( -0.38) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.07% ( 0.04) | 36.93% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.28% ( 0.04) | 73.72% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Frosinone |
2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.99% Total : 63.55% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.94% 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.87% | 1-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 16.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 17 | 31 | 44 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 30 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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