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Champions League
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Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 10, 2023 at 8pm UK
San Siro
Inter logo

AC Milan
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Krunic (45+1'), Tomori (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dzeko (8'), Mkhitaryan (11')
Mkhitaryan (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Inter Milan record a 2-0 victory over AC Milan in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final on Wednesday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Inter Milan.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Inter Milan could line up for Wednesday's Champions League clash with city rivals AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lazio
Saturday, May 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Roma 0-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, May 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
29.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 27.89% (0.342 0.34) 42.43% (-0.357 -0.36)
Both teams to score 46.68% (-0.95 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.02% (-1.208 -1.21)58.97% (1.208 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.55% (-0.944 -0.94)79.45% (0.94399999999999 0.94)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.36% (-0.634 -0.63)35.64% (0.634 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.59% (-0.661 -0.66)72.41% (0.66000000000001 0.66)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.755 -0.75)27.47% (0.754 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.985 -0.98)62.96% (0.984 0.98)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 29.67%
    Inter Milan 42.43%
    Draw 27.89%
AC MilanDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.284 0.28)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.21% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.439 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 12.64% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 8.17% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.43%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Inter Milan

AC Milan
34.6%
Draw
20.5%
Inter Milan
44.8%
482
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Inter Milan
1-0
AC Milan
Martinez (34')
Mkhitaryan (67'), Acerbi (68')

Kalulu (32'), Gabbia (49'), Leao (62'), Giroud (84'), Rebic (88')
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Final
AC Milan
0-3
Inter Milan

Hernandez (77'), Tonali (85')
Dimarco (10'), Dzeko (21'), Martinez (77')
Barella (33'), Calhanoglu (72'), Martinez (79')
Sep 3, 2022 5pm
gameweek 5
AC Milan
3-2
Inter Milan
Leao (28', 60'), Giroud (54')
Hernandez (9'), Giroud (32'), De Ketelaere (51'), Tonali (77'), Leao (90+4')
Brozovic (21'), Dzeko (67')
Dumfries (9'), Brozovic (39'), Inzaghi (71')
Apr 19, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Inter Milan
3-0
AC Milan
Martinez (4', 40'), Gosens (82')
Skriniar (50')

Hernandez (35'), Tomori (90')
Mar 1, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
AC Milan
0-0
Inter Milan

Brozovic (33'), Martinez (58')
Build-up
Inter Milan's Federico Dimarco in action with AC Milan's Davide Calabria on February 5, 2023
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