Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
We said: Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona
Verona's hand has surely been weakened by events in the transfer window, while Napoli have several men back at their disposal this weekend. As a result, the ailing champions can take maximum points on home soil and push their visitors further down into danger.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.15% . A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.76% .
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.79%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%) , while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.17%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result Napoli Draw Hellas Verona 67.15% ( 0.01) 19.09% ( -0.04) 13.76% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.23)
58.42% ( 0.27) 41.58% ( -0.26)
36.02% ( 0.27) 63.98% ( -0.26)
88.55% ( 0.08) 11.45% ( -0.08)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 63.74% ( 0.17) 36.26% ( -0.17)
57.93% ( 0.21) 42.07% ( -0.21)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.5% ( 0.19) 78.5% ( -0.18)
Napoli 67.14%
Hellas Verona 13.76%
Draw 19.09%
Napoli Draw Hellas Verona 2-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.79% Total : 67.14% 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 19.09% 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 13.76%
How you voted: Napoli vs Hellas Verona
75
rhs 2.0
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