Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
13.63% | 17.72% | 68.65% |
Both teams to score 56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.68% | 35.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.65% | 57.34% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.77% | 38.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% | 74.99% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.65% | 9.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.49% | 31.5% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 3.92% 1-0 @ 3.44% 2-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.88% Total : 13.63% | 1-1 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.64% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.72% | 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-1 @ 8.47% 0-3 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 4.7% 1-4 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 3.67% 0-5 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 2.17% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.48% Total : 68.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |