We said: Parma 1-1 Roma
There has been only one draw between these sides across their last 15 Serie A meetings, but another could be on the cards this weekend.
Mid-table Roma may be distracted by European commitments and are rarely at their best outside the capital, while lowly Parma are scrapping for every point.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.
1.7) 
-1.92) 
