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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Roma logo

Torino
1 - 1
Roma

Zapata (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (68')
Paredes (60'), Kristensen (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Torino
Monday, September 18 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-2 Roma
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Torino 0-1 Roma

Heading into the fifth round of fixtures, only Napoli had conceded fewer shots than Roma in Serie A this season; meanwhile, only Cagliari have recorded fewer on target than Torino. It could therefore be a close-fought encounter in Turin, with perhaps one goal separating two well-drilled sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Roma had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (12.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
36.13% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.93% (0.193 0.19) 33.94% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 42.29% (-0.521 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.1% (-0.618 -0.62)64.9% (0.62 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.18% (-0.436 -0.44)83.82% (0.43799999999999 0.44)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)34.22% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.356 -0.36)70.91% (0.358 0.36)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.29% (-0.46799999999999 -0.47)35.71% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.52% (-0.485 -0.48)72.48% (0.48699999999999 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Torino 36.13%
    Roma 33.94%
    Draw 29.92%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.1% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 36.13%
1-1 @ 13.49% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 12.21% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.92%
0-1 @ 12.58% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33.94%

How you voted: Torino vs Roma

Torino
15.5%
Draw
28.9%
Roma
55.7%
97
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Torino
0-1
Roma
Dybala (8' pen.)
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Roma
1-1
Torino
Matic (90+4')
Linetty (55')
May 20, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Torino
0-3
Roma

Ansaldi (21'), Buongiorno (78')
Abraham (33', 42'), Pellegrini (78' pen.)
Ibanez (20'), Shomurodov (76')
Nov 28, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
1-0
Torino
Abraham (32')
Ibanez (90+2'), Kumbulla (90+4')

Zima (54')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 31
Torino
3-1
Roma
Sanabria (57'), Zaza (71'), Rincon (90+2')
Nkoulou (51'), Verdi (65')
Mayoral (3')
Diawara (74')
Diawara (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14Como122461323-1010
15Genoa12246922-1310
16CagliariCagliari11236919-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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