Genoa

4 - 1

Roma

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.