Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Mar 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
5 - 0
Salernitana

Martinez (22', 40', 56'), Dzeko (64', 69')
Darmian (8'), de Vrij (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mousset (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Inter Milan
Sunday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Next Game: Inter Milan vs. Sampdoria
Sunday, May 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	AC Milan	37	35	83
2	Inter Milan	37	49	81
3	Napoli	37	40	76

Salernitana

Last Six:

Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A

Next Game: Salernitana vs. Udinese
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Spezia	37	-27	36
17	Salernitana	37	-41	31
18	Cagliari	37	-34	29

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana

Inter's recent form has been patchy, but the Italian champions will be confident of returning to winning ways on Friday night. Salernitana have proved difficult to overcome in recent weeks, but we are expecting Inzaghi's side to move to the top of the table with a routine two-goal success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 80.28%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 6.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.62%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Salernitana
80.28%	13.18%	6.55%

Both teams to score 43.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.98%

36.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.87%

58.13%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.01%

6.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.4%

25.6%

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.07%

52.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.39%

86.61%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 80.28%

Salernitana 6.55%

Draw 13.18%

Inter Milan	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 13.1% 3-0 @ 11.62% 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.34% 4-0 @ 7.73% 3-1 @ 7.39% 4-1 @ 4.92% 5-0 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.35% 6-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.56% 6-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.7% Total : 80.28%	1-1 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 3.7% 2-2 @ 2.65% Other @ 0.56% Total : 13.18%	0-1 @ 2.36% 1-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.2% Total : 6.55%