Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
69.92% | 17.26% | 12.82% |
Both teams to score 55.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.87% | 35.13% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.86% | 57.14% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.99% | 9.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.31% | 30.69% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.7% | 39.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24% | 76% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.52% 3-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.69% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 4.63% 3-2 @ 3.59% 5-0 @ 2.39% 5-1 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.16% 5-2 @ 1.04% 6-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.71% Total : 69.91% | 1-1 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.47% 0-0 @ 3.54% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.26% | 1-2 @ 3.72% 0-1 @ 3.31% 0-2 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.39% 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.7% Total : 12.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |