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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Torino logo

Lecce
0 - 2
Torino


Gonzalez (28'), Espeto (32'), Hjulmand (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Singo (20'), Sanabria (23')
Buongiorno (29'), Ilic (32'), Milinkovic-Savic (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Bologna
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Torino

Torino have struggled to put a good run of results together all season and have frequently dropped points against sides near the bottom. For Lecce, any points will be vital now as they aim to ease themselves away from trouble to a mid-table finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawTorino
41.97% (-0.702 -0.7) 26.67% (-0.25 -0.25) 31.36% (0.957 0.96)
Both teams to score 50.97% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (1.299 1.3)53.85% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (1.081 1.08)75.32% (-1.077 -1.08)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.22800000000001 0.23)25.36% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.31 0.31)60.15% (-0.305 -0.31)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (1.351 1.35)31.72% (-1.346 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (1.524 1.52)68.14% (-1.52 -1.52)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.97%
    Torino 31.36%
    Draw 26.67%
LecceDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.416 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.18 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Lecce vs Torino

Lecce
39.2%
Draw
32.4%
Torino
28.4%
74
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
Sep 16, 2019 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Lecce
Belotti (58' pen.)
Berenguer (40')
Farias (35'), Mancosu (73')
Rossettini (15'), Lucioni (18'), Lapadula (50'), Tabanelli (56'), Rispoli (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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