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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Torino logo

Lecce
0 - 2
Torino


Gonzalez (28'), Espeto (32'), Hjulmand (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Singo (20'), Sanabria (23')
Buongiorno (29'), Ilic (32'), Milinkovic-Savic (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Bologna
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Torino

Torino have struggled to put a good run of results together all season and have frequently dropped points against sides near the bottom. For Lecce, any points will be vital now as they aim to ease themselves away from trouble to a mid-table finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawTorino
41.97% (-0.702 -0.7) 26.67% (-0.25 -0.25) 31.36% (0.957 0.96)
Both teams to score 50.97% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (1.299 1.3)53.85% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (1.081 1.08)75.32% (-1.077 -1.08)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.22800000000001 0.23)25.36% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.31 0.31)60.15% (-0.305 -0.31)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (1.351 1.35)31.72% (-1.346 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (1.524 1.52)68.14% (-1.52 -1.52)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.97%
    Torino 31.36%
    Draw 26.67%
LecceDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.416 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.18 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Lecce vs Torino

Lecce
39.2%
Draw
32.4%
Torino
28.4%
74
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
Sep 16, 2019 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Lecce
Belotti (58' pen.)
Berenguer (40')
Farias (35'), Mancosu (73')
Rossettini (15'), Lucioni (18'), Lapadula (50'), Tabanelli (56'), Rispoli (88')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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