Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel1 - 3Fiorentina
The Match
Match Report
Fiorentina score with almost the last kick of extra time to defeat Basel 3-1 (4-3 on aggregate) and set up a Europa Conference League final against West Ham United.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Basel and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Gallen 6-1 Basel
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Udinese
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, May 14 at 2pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Basel had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%).
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Fiorentina |
28.5% ( 0.85) | 24.12% ( -0.07) | 47.38% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
