Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
Result | ||
Torino | Draw | Genoa |
46.72% | 26.47% | 26.8% |
Both teams to score 48.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.82% | 55.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.58% | 76.42% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.4% | 23.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.32% | 57.68% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.12% | 35.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% | 72.66% |
Score Analysis |
Torino | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 12.22% 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 4.35% 3-0 @ 4.25% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.72% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.47% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 6.42% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.95% Total : 26.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |