Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan4 - 1Cagliari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Sassuolo
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-0 Empoli
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 30 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 3-1 Cagliari
Given Cagliari's defensive deficiencies - clearly apparent when losing at home to Milan earlier this season - and their lack of fortitude when on the road, even a much-changed Milan side should safely secure a place in the Coppa Italia quarter-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
58.43% ( 0) | 22.52% ( -0) | 19.04% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.65% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.98% ( 0.01) | 47.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.74% ( 0.01) | 69.26% ( -0.01) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.22% ( 0) | 15.77% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.1% ( 0.01) | 44.9% ( -0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.33% ( 0) | 38.67% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.59% ( 0) | 75.41% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan 58.43%
Cagliari 19.04%
Draw 22.52%
AC Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 11.26% 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 58.43% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.04% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Cagliari
AC Milan
90.5%Draw
4.8%Cagliari
4.8%84
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Cagliari
1-3
AC Milan
Mar 19, 2022 7.45pm
May 16, 2021 7.45pm
Jan 18, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Cagliari
0-2
AC Milan
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 14:59:04
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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