Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Lazio |
33.5% ( 0.18) | 26.67% ( 0.05) | 39.82% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 51.63% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.68% ( -0.16) | 53.32% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.13% ( -0.14) | 74.86% ( 0.13) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70% ( 0.03) | 30% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.88% ( 0.04) | 66.12% ( -0.05) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% ( -0.2) | 26.24% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.65% ( -0.26) | 61.35% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.5% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |