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Serie A
Cagliari logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Bologna logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Bologna

Petagna (31'), Calafiori (69' og.)
Dossena (45+2'), Nandez (45+2'), Wieteska (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsolini (24')
Posch (3'), Calafiori (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-0 Bologna (4-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 9 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Cagliari 0-0 Bologna

 Bologna's recent struggles have been there for all to see, and while goals have been hard to come by at the best of times, Zirkzee's absence will only enhance this problem. Facing a side chasing the European places, any result will be a positive for Cagliari, who must now accept they are deep in a relegation battle, and the target will be to remain outside of the bottom three come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawBologna
46.01% (0.366 0.37) 26.24% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.75% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.134 -0.13)53.76% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.113 -0.11)75.24% (0.119 0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.11499999999999 0.11)23.32% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.166 0.17)57.27% (-0.159 -0.16)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.346 -0.35)34.36% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.37 -0.37)71.06% (0.376 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 46.01%
    Bologna 27.75%
    Draw 26.24%
CagliariDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.75%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Bologna

Cagliari
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Bologna
54.2%
48
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bologna
2-1
Cagliari
Zirkzee (59'), Fabbian (89')
Ferguson (40')
Luvumbo (22')
Sulemana (70'), Makoumbou (90')
> Preview
Oct 20, 2022 8pm
Second Round
Bologna
1-0
Cagliari
Obert (69' og.)
> Preview
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cagliari
2-1
Bologna
Pavoletti (71'), Pereiro (90+4')
Carboni (14'), Altare (19'), Deiola (57')
Orsolini (54')
Theate (15'), De Silvestri (86')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Cagliari
De Silvestri (49'), Arnautovic (90+6')
Svanberg (40'), Hickey (70'), Medel (90+1')

Pedro (68'), Pavoletti (90+3')
Caceres (90')
> Preview
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Cagliari
1-0
Bologna
Rugani (19')
Nandez (15'), Cerri (89')

Antov (26'), Schouten (86'), Mihajlovic (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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