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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Bologna logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Bologna

Petagna (31'), Calafiori (69' og.)
Dossena (45+2'), Nandez (45+2'), Wieteska (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsolini (24')
Posch (3'), Calafiori (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-0 Bologna

Bologna's recent struggles have been there for all to see, and while goals have been hard to come by at the best of times, Zirkzee's absence will only enhance this problem. Facing a side chasing the European places, any result will be a positive for Cagliari, who must now accept they are deep in a relegation battle, and the target will be to remain outside of the bottom three come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawBologna
46.01% (0.366 0.37) 26.24% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.75% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.134 -0.13)53.76% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.113 -0.11)75.24% (0.119 0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.11499999999999 0.11)23.32% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.166 0.17)57.27% (-0.159 -0.16)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.346 -0.35)34.36% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.37 -0.37)71.06% (0.376 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 46.01%
    Bologna 27.75%
    Draw 26.24%
CagliariDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.75%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Bologna

Cagliari
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Bologna
54.2%
48
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bologna
2-1
Cagliari
Zirkzee (59'), Fabbian (89')
Ferguson (40')
Luvumbo (22')
Sulemana (70'), Makoumbou (90')
Oct 20, 2022 8pm
Second Round
Bologna
1-0
Cagliari
Obert (69' og.)
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cagliari
2-1
Bologna
Pavoletti (71'), Pereiro (90+4')
Carboni (14'), Altare (19'), Deiola (57')
Orsolini (54')
Theate (15'), De Silvestri (86')
Nov 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Cagliari
De Silvestri (49'), Arnautovic (90+6')
Svanberg (40'), Hickey (70'), Medel (90+1')

Pedro (68'), Pavoletti (90+3')
Caceres (90')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Cagliari
1-0
Bologna
Rugani (19')
Nandez (15'), Cerri (89')

Antov (26'), Schouten (86'), Mihajlovic (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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