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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Bologna logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Bologna

Petagna (31'), Calafiori (69' og.)
Dossena (45+2'), Nandez (45+2'), Wieteska (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Orsolini (24')
Posch (3'), Calafiori (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 0-0 Bologna

Bologna's recent struggles have been there for all to see, and while goals have been hard to come by at the best of times, Zirkzee's absence will only enhance this problem. Facing a side chasing the European places, any result will be a positive for Cagliari, who must now accept they are deep in a relegation battle, and the target will be to remain outside of the bottom three come the end of the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawBologna
46.01% (0.366 0.37) 26.24% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.75% (-0.347 -0.35)
Both teams to score 50.34% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.24% (-0.134 -0.13)53.76% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.76% (-0.113 -0.11)75.24% (0.119 0.12)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.11499999999999 0.11)23.32% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.166 0.17)57.27% (-0.159 -0.16)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.346 -0.35)34.36% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.37 -0.37)71.06% (0.376 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 46.01%
    Bologna 27.75%
    Draw 26.24%
CagliariDrawBologna
1-0 @ 11.66% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.49% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.01%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.57% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.75%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Bologna

Cagliari
20.8%
Draw
25.0%
Bologna
54.2%
48
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bologna
2-1
Cagliari
Zirkzee (59'), Fabbian (89')
Ferguson (40')
Luvumbo (22')
Sulemana (70'), Makoumbou (90')
Oct 20, 2022 8pm
Second Round
Bologna
1-0
Cagliari
Obert (69' og.)
Jan 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cagliari
2-1
Bologna
Pavoletti (71'), Pereiro (90+4')
Carboni (14'), Altare (19'), Deiola (57')
Orsolini (54')
Theate (15'), De Silvestri (86')
Nov 1, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Bologna
2-0
Cagliari
De Silvestri (49'), Arnautovic (90+6')
Svanberg (40'), Hickey (70'), Medel (90+1')

Pedro (68'), Pavoletti (90+3')
Caceres (90')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Cagliari
1-0
Bologna
Rugani (19')
Nandez (15'), Cerri (89')

Antov (26'), Schouten (86'), Mihajlovic (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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