Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 46.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
46.99% ( 0.29) | 26.81% ( -0.01) | 26.2% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 47.57% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.21% ( -0.13) | 56.79% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.27% ( -0.1) | 77.73% ( 0.11) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.83% ( 0.08) | 24.18% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( 0.12) | 58.5% ( -0.11) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% ( -0.31) | 37.27% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( -0.31) | 74.05% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 46.99% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 26.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |