Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.51%) and 0-3 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Napoli |
11.16% (![]() | 19.35% (![]() | 69.49% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.63% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.04% (![]() | 48.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.95% (![]() | 71.05% (![]() |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.98% (![]() | 51.02% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.65% (![]() | 85.35% (![]() |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.04% (![]() | 12.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.56% (![]() | 39.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 4.45% (![]() 2-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 11.16% | 1-1 @ 9.09% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.61% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.35% | 0-2 @ 13.8% (![]() 0-1 @ 13.51% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 9.4% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.8% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 69.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |