Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Udinese win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
23.99% ( -1.47) | 24.54% ( 0.03) | 51.47% ( 1.44) |
Both teams to score 52.22% ( -1.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% ( -1.36) | 49.69% ( 1.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% ( -1.24) | 71.7% ( 1.23) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.7% ( -2) | 35.3% ( 2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.94% ( -2.14) | 72.06% ( 2.14) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.71% ( 0.04) | 19.29% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.96% ( 0.08) | 51.04% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.15) Other @ 2% Total : 23.99% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.26) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.53) 1-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.06% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.01% Total : 51.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |