Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Mar 30, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Napoli
0 - 3
Atalanta

Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Napoli 1-1 Atalanta BC

Napoli have been below their best on home soil this term, while Atalanta rank just 10th for points won on the road in Serie A and are enduring a sticky patch. Therefore, just a second draw in 18 games between these teams in Naples could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
51.3% ( 0.07)	24.33% ( -0.01)	24.37% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52% (

-0.03)

48.47% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39% (

-0.02)

70.6% (

0.02)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.1% (

0.01)

18.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.62% (

0.02)

50.38% (

-0.02)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69% (

-0.07)

34.3% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

-0.07)

71% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Napoli 51.29%

Atalanta BC 24.37%

Draw 24.32%

Napoli	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.29%	1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.37%