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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Atalanta logo

Napoli
0 - 3
Atalanta


Osimhen (38'), Di Lorenzo (84')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Miranchuk (26'), Scamacca (45'), Koopmeiners (88')
Kolasinac (54'), Koopmeiners (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Atalanta BC

Napoli have been below their best on home soil this term, while Atalanta rank just 10th for points won on the road in Serie A and are enduring a sticky patch. Therefore, just a second draw in 18 games between these teams in Naples could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
51.3% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 24.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.37% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.52% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)48.47% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.39% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)70.6% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.1% (0.013999999999996 0.01)18.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.62% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)34.3% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)71% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 51.29%
    Atalanta BC 24.37%
    Draw 24.32%
NapoliDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 6.48% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.32%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 24.37%

How you voted: Napoli vs Atalanta

Napoli
69.4%
Draw
18.8%
Atalanta BC
11.8%
85
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (53')
Djimsiti (27'), Kolasinac (64')
Kvaratskhelia (44'), Elmas (79')
Natan (21'), Mazzarri (22'), Di Lorenzo (60')
Mar 11, 2023 5pm
Nov 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Atalanta
1-2
Napoli
Lookman (19' pen.)
Osimhen (23'), Elmas (35')
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
1-3
Napoli
De Roon (58')
Luis Palomino (35'), de Roon (86')
Insigne (14' pen.), Politano (37'), Elmas (81')
Jesus (67'), Ospina (76'), Zambo Anguissa (85')
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
2-3
Atalanta
Zielinski (40'), Mertens (47')
Rrahmani (58'), Malcuit (64')
Malinovskyi (7'), Demiral (66'), Freuler (71')
Malinovskyi (17'), Pasalic (82'), Djimsiti (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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