Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
34.64% ( -0.79) | 26.23% ( 0.15) | 39.13% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 53.29% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( -0.71) | 51.29% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( -0.62) | 73.12% ( 0.62) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -0.82) | 28.28% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( -1.05) | 64% ( 1.05) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% ( 0.03) | 25.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( 0.03) | 60.6% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |