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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Hellas Verona logo

Spezia
0 - 0
Hellas Verona


Reca (89'), Zurkowski (90+5')
Marchetti (82')
FT

Terracciano (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Spezia
Sunday, February 26 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-3 Fiorentina
Monday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-1 Hellas Verona

Spezia (six) and Verona (five) are among the three lowest-scoring teams in the second half of Serie A matches this term. The Aquilotti are also the only side yet to score via a substitute; Hellas have netted only once through their subs - and not since August. A tight draw could be on the cards, then, with either side unable to change the game and take three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
34.64% (-0.793 -0.79) 26.23% (0.148 0.15) 39.13% (0.647 0.65)
Both teams to score 53.29% (-0.591 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.71% (-0.71 -0.71)51.29% (0.711 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.88% (-0.622 -0.62)73.12% (0.624 0.62)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.72% (-0.821 -0.82)28.28% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36% (-1.05 -1.05)64% (1.052 1.05)
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.69% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)60.6% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 34.64%
    Hellas Verona 39.13%
    Draw 26.23%
SpeziaDrawHellas Verona
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.205 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.87% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.198 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.13%

How you voted: Spezia vs Hellas Verona

Spezia
50.0%
Draw
23.3%
Hellas Verona
26.7%
60
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-2
Spezia
Verdi (30')
N'Zola (53', 69')
Ampadu (32')
Jan 6, 2022 1.30pm
Spezia
1-2
Hellas Verona
Erlic (85')
Verde (75'), Agudelo (78'), Zoet (87')
Agudelo (87')
Caprari (59', 70')
Veloso (29'), Casale (45')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
4-0
Spezia
Simeone (4'), Faraoni (15'), Caprari (42'), Bessa (71')
Caprari (28')

Ferrer (40')
Bastoni (82')
May 1, 2021 2pm
Hellas Verona
1-1
Spezia
Salcedo (46')
Zaccagni (15'), Dawidowicz (38'), Sturaro (40'), Ilic (69'), Tameze (71'), Faraoni (84')
Saponara (86')
N'Zola (13'), Chabot (50')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Spezia
0-1
Hellas Verona

Chabot (12'), Estevez (35'), Pobega (66'), Erlic (77'), Agoume (79')
Chabot (69')
Zaccagni (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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