Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
34.64% ( -0.79) | 26.23% ( 0.15) | 39.13% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 53.29% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( -0.71) | 51.29% ( 0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( -0.62) | 73.12% ( 0.62) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -0.82) | 28.28% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( -1.05) | 64% ( 1.05) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% ( 0.03) | 25.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.39% ( 0.03) | 60.6% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Hellas Verona |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 53 |
2 | Inter Milan | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 55 | 18 | 37 | 50 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 46 |
4 | Lazio | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 38 | 30 | 8 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 22 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 36 |
7 | AC Milan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Bologna | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 34 |
9 | Roma | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
10 | Torino | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 26 |
11 | Udinese | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
12 | Genoa | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 26 |
13 | Como | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 22 |
14 | Empoli | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
16 | Parma | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 20 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 20 |
18 | Lecce | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |