Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crotone win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crotone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
