Cagliari
3 - 1
Cittadella

Deiola (16'), Ceter (40'), Pereiro (64')
Oliva (26')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Donnarumma (85')
Danzi (26'), Frare (71')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Cagliari and Cittadella, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Cittadella

Given their contrasting form, this has all the makings of an interesting contest. Nevertheless, while Cittadella will fancy their chances of pulling off the upset, we feel inclined to back Cagliari to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Cittadella
29.76%	25.38%	44.86%

Both teams to score 54.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.8%

49.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.74%

71.26%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.53%

30.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.32%

66.68%

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.09%

21.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.82%

55.18%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 29.76%

Cittadella 44.86%

Draw 25.37%

Cagliari	Draw	Cittadella
1-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 7.16% 2-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.15% 3-0 @ 1.87% Other @ 3.09% Total : 29.76%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 10.13% 1-2 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 7.69% 1-3 @ 4.63% 0-3 @ 3.89% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.76% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.35% Total : 44.86%