Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Ternana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-0 SPAL
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 1-0 Bari
Sunday, March 19 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, March 19 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Ternana win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Ternana |
50.94% ( 0.12) | 23.97% | 25.08% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( -0.11) | 46.34% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( -0.1) | 68.63% ( 0.1) |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( 0) | 18.22% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.76% ( 0.01) | 49.23% ( -0.01) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( -0.16) | 32.55% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.92% ( -0.18) | 69.08% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
SPAL 50.94%
Ternana 25.08%
Draw 23.97%
| SPAL | Draw | Ternana |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.08% |
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 1pm
Ternana
0-0
SPAL
Agazzi (20')
Feb 22, 2022 5.30pm
Sep 26, 2021 7.30pm
Ternana
1-0
SPAL
Martella (26')
Paghera (14'), Sorensen (57'), Koutsoupias (79'), Iannarilli (83')
Paghera (14'), Sorensen (57'), Koutsoupias (79'), Iannarilli (83')
Celia (30')
