Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
SPAL2 - 1Cittadella
Coverage of the Serie B clash between SPAL and Cittadella.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: SPAL 0-2 Frosinone
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 Brescia
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Wednesday, March 1 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SPAL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | Cittadella |
42.09% ( -0.5) | 26.75% ( -0.11) | 31.17% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 50.67% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
