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Watford logo
Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Southampton logo

Watford
0 - 1
Southampton


Pedro (45+2'), Kucka (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adams (20')
Salisu (55'), Ward-Prowse (58')

Preview: Watford vs. Southampton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Watford will be looking to make it back-to-back Premier League victories when they continue their 2021-22 campaign at home to Southampton on Saturday afternoon.

The Hornets, who sit 14th in the table, recorded a 5-2 win over Everton at Goodison Park last weekend, while 16th-placed Southampton played out a 2-2 draw with Burnley in their last league match.


Match preview

Watford's Joshua King celebrates scoring their fourth goal and his hat-trick against Everton on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Claudio Ranieri's first match in charge of Watford suggested that it could be a long and difficult season, with the Hornets losing 5-0 at home to the Reds, but the Italian managed to lead his side to a 5-2 win over Everton at Goodison Park last weekend to boost confidence at Vicarage Road.

Watford have an incredibly difficult run of matches coming up, taking on Arsenal, Manchester United, Leicester City, Chelsea and Manchester City in five straight fixtures after the clash with Southampton, which is an indication of the importance of this weekend's contest against one of the teams around them in the table.

A record of three wins, one draw and five defeats from nine matches has seen the Hornets collect 10 points, which has left them in 14th spot in the table, six points above the relegation zone.

Watford have not won at Vicarage Road since the opening weekend of the season, though, collecting just one point from their last three home league fixtures against Wolverhampton Wanderers, Newcastle and Liverpool.

The Hertfordshire outfit have won just one of their last 13 league meetings with Southampton, meanwhile, and lost both games against the Saints when they locked horns during the 2019-20 Premier League campaign.

Southampton manager Ralph Hasenhuttl reacts on October 23, 2021© Reuters

Southampton, meanwhile, will enter this weekend's contest off the back of a penalty-shootout defeat to Chelsea in the last-16 stage of the EFL Cup on Tuesday; the two teams played out a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge before the hosts triumphed 4-3 on spot kicks.

Ralph Hasenhuttl will have been pleased with his side's performance despite the defeat, and the Saints have also picked up four points from their last two Premier League matches, recording a 1-0 win over Leeds United on October 16 before playing out a 2-2 draw with Burnley last weekend.

Southampton came from behind to lead against the Clarets in Hampshire, but Maxwel Cornet's second of the match for Sean Dyche's side allowed the points to be shared at St Mary's.

Hasenhuttl's team have won one, drawn five and lost three of their nine league games this season to collect eight points, which has left them down in 16th position in the table, two points behind their opponents here.

As mentioned above, the Saints have a strong recent record against Watford and have not actually lost to the Hornets since a Premier League clash at St Mary's towards the start of the 2017-18 campaign.

Watford Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Watford form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Southampton Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D

Southampton form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Southampton's James Ward-Prowse is shown a red card by referee Martin Atkinson after a VAR review© Reuters

Watford boss Ranieri revealed during Thursday's pre-match press conference that Danny Rose is available for selection after recovering from the calf problem that forced him to miss out against Everton.

Kiko Femenia remains a doubt, though, while Francisco Sierralta, Christian Kabasele and Peter Etebo will all miss out through injury, and Emmanuel Dennis will be absent through suspension due to his booking last time out.

Despite Rose's return, Adam Masina could retain his spot at left-back, and there is every chance that Ranieri will select the same XI from the victory at Goodison Park, with Juan Hernandez and Ismaila Sarr playing either side of Joshua King, who netted three times against the Toffees.

As for Southampton, Armando Broja has been ruled out of the contest due to the ankle problem that the forward picked up in the draw with Burnley last weekend, so Che Adams could start through the middle.

Jack Stephens is also still out with a knee problem, while Mohamed Elyounoussi remains a doubt with a wrist injury, but James Ward-Prowse is available again after a suspension.

Ward-Prowse is expected to come straight back into the away side's XI on Saturday, while Stuart Armstrong could be handed a spot in a wide area, with Nathan Redmond potentially joining Adams in attack despite the availability of Adam Armstrong.

Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Ngakia, Troost-Ekong, Cathcart, Masina; Sarr, Kucka, Sissoko, Tufan, Hernandez; King

Southampton possible starting lineup:
McCarthy; Livramento, Bednarek, Salisu, Perraud; S Armstrong, Romeu, Ward-Prowse, Djenepo; Redmond, Adams


SM words green background

We say: Watford 1-1 Southampton

This is a very, very difficult match to call, and we are finding it tough to separate the two teams on this occasion. Watford were excellent against Everton last weekend, but Southampton's recent performances have also been positive, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Vicarage Road.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Southampton in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Watford vs Southampton

Watford
50.8%
Draw
21.5%
Southampton
27.7%
195
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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