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Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Oct 6, 2021 at 11pm UK
 

Sport
3 - 1
Juventude

Welison (36'), Mikael (49'), Chico (69')
Everaldo (77'), Hernanes (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Paulinho (80' pen.)
Macedo (67'), Wagner (90+3')

Preview: Sport Recife vs. Juventude - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Sport Recife and Juventude, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sport Recife will look to take further steps to moving outside of the Brasileiro relegation zone when they play host to Juventude on Wednesday evening.

While the visitors currently sit in 15th position, defeat at Ilha do Retiro will see their opponents cut the gap to four points.


Match preview

Juventude manager Marquinhos Santos pictured in 2019© Reuters

On the back of eight games without a goal and their club sitting well adrift of safety, Sport supporters would have been forgiven for being pessimistic ahead of travelling to relegation rivals Gremio.

However, second-half goals from Gustavo and Mikael earned Leao do Norte a famous 2-1 win, Sport now within four points of 16th-placed Santos.

Even though his team have played at least a game more than the sides above them, recently-appointed boss Gustavo Florentin will be delighted and relieved regarding the weekend's result in equal measure.

Remarkably, it was the first time that Sport had scored at least two goals in a fixture since May 31, a period stretching 21 matches.

Juventude have also endured a relatively bleak run in Brazil's top flight, recording just one win in eight encounters played since August 22.

Nevertheless, five draws, the latest coming against Palmeiras at the weekend, have kept Juve ticking over and outside of the bottom four.

Marquinhos Santos will acknowledge that his team need to get another victory on the board as soon as possible, preferably against one of the clubs below them in the standings.

Unlike their hosts, goals have not proven to be an issue with Juventude scoring in 11 successive matches, accumulating a total of 14 strikes.

Ricardo Bueno and Guilherme Castilho have impressed in recent weeks, the pair contributing three goals apiece during the last five games.

Sport Recife Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Juventude Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Regardless of the short turnaround, Florentin will likely look to name a similar Sport XI to the one which started on Sunday night.

Everton Felipe appears likely to replace the injured Thiago Lopes in midfield, while Chico is an option in defence if Santos opts for a switch in that area of the pitch.

Juventude boss Santos is expected to be of the same thinking as his opposite number after the 1-1 draw at Palmeiras.

Barring any late fitness issues, the likes of Fernando Pacheco, Didi and Wescley are likely to remain among the replacements.

Despite having recently returned from suspension, Rafael Forster is another player who may stay on the substitutes' bench.

Sport Recife possible starting lineup:
Mailson; Ewerthon, Thyere, Sabino, Sander; Gustavo, Felipe, Marcao, Hernanes, Everaldo; Mikael

Juventude possible starting lineup:
Friedrich; Macedo, Quintero, Mendes, Matheus; Sorriso, Castilho, Jadson, Dawhan, Capixaba; Roberson


SM words green background

We say: Sport Recife 1-1 Juventude

Sport will be full of confidence given the magnitude of their victory at the weekend. However, that may not necessarily play into their favour with Juventude more likely to be content with a share of the spoils from this fixture.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 40.19%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 29.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Recife would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sport vs Juventude

Sport Recife
29.0%
Draw
45.2%
Juventude
25.8%
31
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