MX23RW : Monday, March 24 06:28:29| >> :600:237740:237740:
Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
GSP Stadium

Omonia
1 - 1
Pafos

Semedo (51' pen.)
Kakoullis (5'), Jovetic (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Orsic (84')
Tankovic (5'), Silva (48'), Goldar (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Conference League clash between Omonia and Pafos FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Omonia

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Last Game: Borac Banja Luka 0-0 Omonia
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League
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Pafos FC

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Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Pafos
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League
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We said: Omonia 1-1 Pafos FC

 This match could go under the radar to many, but it should be a very intriguing clash against two in-form sides from the same nation, who are building something of a rivalry given their regular meetings. Pafos have performed better both domestically and in Europe, but Omonia have home advantage, as well as much more experience in European competition, making it devilishly difficult to call ahead of the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Omonia win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for Pafos FC had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Omonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Pafos FC win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
OmoniaDrawPafos FC
41.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 27.08% (-0.012 -0.01) 31.03% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.6% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (0.031999999999996 0.03)55.55% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (0.024999999999999 0.02)76.72% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Omonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.028999999999996 0.03)26.17% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.74% (0.039000000000001 0.04)61.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.39% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Omonia 41.88%
    Pafos FC 31.03%
    Draw 27.07%
OmoniaDrawPafos FC
1-0 @ 11.51%
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 31.03%

How you voted: Omonia vs Pafos

Omonia
59.6%
Draw
25.5%
Pafos FC
14.9%
47
rhs 2.0
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