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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Kadir Has Şehir Stadı

Kayserispor
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Kocaman (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valencia (6'), Kadioglu (67')
Szalai (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kayserispor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Giresunspor 1-2 Kayserispor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, February 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kayserispor 1-2 Fenerbahce

Despite the recent uptick in home results, the broader inspection of the outcome of Kayserispor's games in Kayseri does not inspire much confidence in their ability to end Fener's unbeaten streak. The visitors are unbeaten since their 3-0 thrashing by title rivals Galatasaray and five without defeat is expected to become six without losing on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Kayserispor had a probability of 23.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Kayserispor win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match.

Result
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
23.11% (-0.155 -0.16) 21.62% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 55.27% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 60.99% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.41% (0.074999999999996 0.07)37.59% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.18% (0.081000000000003 0.08)59.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Kayserispor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)29.41% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.6% (-0.102 -0.1)65.4% (0.101 0.1)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4% (0.088000000000008 0.09)13.6% (-0.089 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27% (0.176 0.18)40.72% (-0.178 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Kayserispor 23.11%
    Fenerbahce 55.27%
    Draw 21.62%
KayserisporDrawFenerbahce
2-1 @ 5.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 23.11%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 9.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.48% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 5.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 55.27%

How you voted: Kayserispor vs Fenerbahce

Kayserispor
21.4%
Draw
7.1%
Fenerbahce
71.4%
14
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 7.45pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Kayserispor
Pedro (37'), King (50')
Kadioglu (74'), Szalai (87')

Campanharo (75'), Mensah (82')
Apr 2, 2022 2pm
Kayserispor
0-4
Fenerbahce

Bulut (73')
Zajc (16'), Rossi (45'), Kahveci (54'), Guler (90+3')
Aziz (35'), Osayi-Samuel (56')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
2-2
Kayserispor
Zajc (85'), Ozil (90+9' pen.)
Kolovetsios (39'), Gavranovic (61')
Civelek (90+8')
May 15, 2021 6.30pm
Kayserispor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Henrique (18')
Muhar (44'), Parlak (55'), Behich (88'), Henrique (88')
Parlak (89')
Valencia (90' pen.), Aziz (90+8')
Valencia (7'), Erkin (32')
Jan 25, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
3-0
Kayserispor
Thiam (20'), Samatta (51'), Cisse (86')
Valencia (18'), Pelkas (69')

Korkmaz (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162


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