La Liga | Gameweek 4
Dec 23, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico1 - 0Sevilla
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 3-3 Getafe
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
Tuesday, December 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Sevilla
Atletico will be in a good place following their huge win over Rayo last time out, but the same cannot be said for a struggling Sevilla outfit. The visitors have the quality to secure a positive result, but we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a home success on Sunday evening. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
57.39% ( -5.29) | 22.02% ( 1.59) | 20.59% ( 3.7) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
