Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan1 - 2Inter Milan
The Match
Match Report
Inter Milan claim a narrow 2-1 victory over city rivals AC Milan to seal their 20th Serie A title.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A derby between AC Milan and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
40.29% ( -0.31) | 25.7% ( 0.12) | 34.02% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
