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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Atalanta

Darmian (26'), Martinez (45+1'), Dimarco (54'), Frattesi (71')
Darmian (22'), Bastoni (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ederson (45'), Djimsiti (53'), Hien (65'), Bakker (71'), Bilal Toure (89'), Lookman (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Atalanta
Sunday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Atalanta BC

An entertaining end-to-end contest is to be expected on Wednesday as an average of 3.4 goals have been scored across the last five Serie A meetings between these two in-form teams. Confidence is flowing among both camps, but it is difficult to look beyond a home victory for a rampant title-chasing Inter outfit, who boast an impressive head-to-head record over their Bergamo-based counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
60.09% (-0.052 -0.05) 22.75% (0.038 0.04) 17.16% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (-0.123 -0.12)50.77% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.108 -0.11)72.66% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)16.51% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)46.25% (0.108 0.11)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (-0.055 -0.05)43.08% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.64% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)79.36% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 60.08%
    Atalanta BC 17.16%
    Draw 22.74%
Inter MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 60.08%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.035 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.99% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 17.16%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Atalanta

Inter Milan
78.0%
Draw
12.4%
Atalanta BC
9.7%
186
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 11
Atalanta
1-2
Inter Milan
Scamacca (61')
de Roon (26'), Kolasinac (35'), Piero Gasperini (40'), Toloi (85')
Toloi (90+2')
Calhanoglu (40' pen.), Martinez (57')
Dumfries (89')
May 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Inter Milan
3-2
Atalanta
Lukaku (1'), Barella (3'), Martinez (77')
Pasalic (36'), Onana (90+1' og.)
Toloi (58')
Jan 31, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Inter Milan
1-0
Atalanta
Darmian (57')
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 15
Atalanta
2-3
Inter Milan
Lookman (25' pen.), Luis Palomino (77')
Dzeko (36', 56'), Luis Palomino (61' og.)
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio28156750361451
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese28117103538-340
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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