Penafiel

1 - 2

Moreirense

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Penafiel had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Penafiel win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.