Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 21, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Casa Pia0 - 1Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 16 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Braga 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 16 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Casa Pia 1-3 Braga
Given that Braga have scored at least two goals in 10 of their 11 away league wins this season, we expect Artur Jorge's men to cruise to a comfortable victory over Casa Pia, who are on course to suffer a fifth defeat in eight outings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.95%) and 0-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Braga |
17.64% ( 0.01) | 20.79% ( 0.01) | 61.57% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
