Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes4 - 1Vilaverdense
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Vilaverdense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-2 Porto
Saturday, November 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Vilaverdense 3-2 Farense
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Vilaverdense had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Vilaverdense win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vilaverdense |
64.56% ( 0) | 21.08% ( -0) | 14.36% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 46.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
