Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes1 - 2Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Guimaraes
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Antwerp
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Porto
Saturday's clash between these two clubs could be a high-scoring affair, with Porto ultimately edging it by a solitary goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
22.78% ( -0.05) | 25.22% ( 0.01) | 51.99% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
