Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
43.73% ( -1.77) | 27.26% ( 0.54) | 29.01% ( 1.23) |
Both teams to score 48.14% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.04% ( -1.42) | 56.95% ( 1.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.14% ( -1.15) | 77.86% ( 1.15) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.14% ( -1.52) | 25.86% ( 1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.17% ( -2.1) | 60.83% ( 2.1) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% ( 0.2) | 35.07% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.18% ( 0.21) | 71.81% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 32 | 30 |
2 | Porto | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27 |
3 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 22 |
4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 18 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
9 | Casa Pia | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
13 | AVS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 7 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 6 |
17 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |