Mariupol

1 - 1

Olimpik Donetsk

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.