Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Apr 10, 2021 at 12pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium
Mariupol0 - 3Shakhtar
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Shakhtar Donetsk.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 13.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Mariupol win it was 1-0 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
Result | ||
Mariupol | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
13.42% | 19.8% | 66.79% |
Both teams to score 47.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |