Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Oct 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Parque Maracaná
Cerrito1 - 2Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 Cerrito
Friday, October 14 at 1.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, October 14 at 1.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Albion 0-1 Nacional
Thursday, October 13 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Thursday, October 13 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
66
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 75.86%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 7.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.7%) and 0-3 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerrito | Draw | Nacional |
7.68% ( 1.33) | 16.46% ( 1.43) | 75.86% ( -2.76) |
Both teams to score 38.07% ( 2.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.87% ( -1.28) | 47.13% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( -1.2) | 69.37% ( 1.2) |
Cerrito Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.62% ( 2.84) | 57.38% ( -2.84) |