Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3

Jun 23, 2024 at 9.30pm UK

Parque Alfredo Victor Viera

Wanderers
1 - 3
River Plate

Freitas (27')
Morales (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Barone (20'), Lavega (41', 66')
Cristobal (45+5'), Campos (77'), Corbo (78'), Vera (81')
Cristobal (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Fenix 3-1 Wanderers
Sunday, June 16 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Maldonado
Saturday, June 15 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	River Plate
38.07% ( -0)	28.65% ( 0.1)	33.27% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 45.66% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.22% (

-0.38)

60.77% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.17% (

-0.29)

80.82% (

0.28)

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

-0.19)

30.84% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.87% (

-0.23)

67.12% (

0.22)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.03% (

-0.27)

33.97% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.35% (

-0.3)

70.64% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 38.07%

River Plate 33.27%

Draw 28.64%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 12.32% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.07%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.64%	0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 33.27%